It’s now time for the knock-out stage of the Champions League, and it’s starting with a really nice match-up. Spanish powerhouse Atletico Madrid will take on English giants Liverpool on Tuesday, in the first leg of the round of 16. The hosts have been in terrible shape lately and will need to get back on their feet for this one. Liverpool have been tremendous the entire season and will look for an away goal here.
Date/Time: 2-18-2020, 15:00 EST
Spread: Liverpool -0.25
Total: 2.25 Goals
Atletico Madrid did a solid job in the Champions League group stage this season, finishing 2nd with 10 points (3-2-1), six behind leaders Juventus. They remained undefeated at home (2-0-1), scoring five goals and conceding just two. Atletico Madrid are in this stage for the eighth time, and last season they were eliminated in this very stage against Juventus. Even so, Atletico Madrid have won four of their last six Champions League round of 16 ties. They have lost just one of their last 25 European home matches (20-1-4) and are undefeated in their last 13 home matches in knockout stages. Atletico Madrid have fared well against English sides in this stage, winning eight of their last ten such ties. Moreover, they have lost just once in their last 12 matches as hosts against English sides (7-1-4).
On the other hand, Liverpool did a stellar job in their group, finishing at the top with 13 points, losing only to the 2nd Napoli. Last season they were tremendous in their Champions League run, resulting in capturing the trophy when they beat Tottenham by 0-2 in the final. Liverpool have now won each of their last 11 two-legged ties for European competitions, including qualifiers. Moreover, they have won each of their four two-legged ties against Spanish clubs, with an overall record of W9 L2. However, they have not fared well in Spain over the years (0-4-1), with an overall record of 7-6-5.
The two teams last met in the semi-finals of the 2009/10 Europa League, where they exchanged 0-1 home wins. Both teams scored once in the extra time, with Atletico Madrid moving on due to away goals. Liverpool have been very careful lately and Atletico Madrid are always a very compact side. This is a battle between two very intelligent coaches and it could end up with very few goals.
Premier League Atletico Madrid vs Liverpool Prediction: Under 2.25 Goals (-120)
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