The traditional powerful PSV Endhoven, the Dutch champions, are again leading the Eredivisie this season and continue to be a force despite the departures of Memphis Depay and Georginio Wijnaldum. The aggressive Dutch squad has never kept a clean sheet in their eight Champions League games against Spanish clubs.
The defensive minded Atletico Madrid have conceded just 11 times in La Liga this season. While Fernando Torres carries some of the clubs weight the primary attacking responsibilities of Atletico fall to Antoine Griezmann, whose 19 goals this season have attracted the attention of European rivals. Diego Simeone’s men would be well served to be less conservative against PSV. Simeone’s crew have failed to find the net in four of their last six Champions League away games.
PSV Eindhoven vs Atlético Madrid
How they got here:
PSV finished 2nd in group B in which Wolfsburg finished first. PSV won 3 and drew 1 while losing 2 in group stage play. Atletico Madrid finished first in group C winning 4 while losing 1 and drawing 1. They scored 11 while allowing only 3.
Their most recent meeting took place back in the 2008/2009 group stage play and Atletico came away victorious in both matches 2-1 on home soil and 3-0 away. Atletico have a record again Dutch opponents of 5 victories and a draw in 10 matches while PSV has a less impressive mark of 4 victories and the other 20 matches being evenly split with 10 losses and 10 draws against Spanish sides.
PSV have played 11 matches since match day 6 with 9 victories 1 draw and 1 loss which came in a club friendly. Atletico Madrid enter this match up with 7 wins 3 losses and 3 draws since match day 6 but since the turn of the year they’ve been a less than spectacular 1 win 2 draws 2 losses from 5.
Odds: To Advance — PSV +381 Atletico Madrid -460
Odds: Leg 1 –– PSV +359 Draw +246 Atletico Madrid -105
Although this corner has been impressed with how PSV has played and their solid record at home it may not be enough to overcome the slight class hike here against the 2014 Champions League runners up. I believe PSV will give Atletico a run for their money at home but unless they can get a strong result in Leg 1 we’ll likely see Atletico finish this off in Leg 2 and advance to the round of 8.
The plays here are Atletico Madrid to Advance -460 and Leg 1 doesn’t offer much value but if you must wager you may want to take a small flyer on PSV to eek out a 1 goal victory at +359. If they lead at halftime you can always hedge.
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