Atletico Madrid have been pretty solid so far in the season and are coming off back-to-back wins in their last two. They will now look to make it three in a row when they will be hosted by Leganes on Saturday. Leganes have been really bad so far and are currently sitting below the relegation zone.
Date/Time: 11-3-2018, 08:00 EDT
Spread: Leganes +0.75
Total: 2 Goals
Leganes (2-6-2) fought really hard in their home match against Rayo Vallecano in the Copa del Rey, where they played for a 2-2 draw. Their opponents took an early two-goal lead but Leganes managed to pull back even ahead of the second leg on the road. Last week in the La Liga they fell by an easy 0-2 on the road against Levante, and are now undefeated in their last four (0-2-2). Leganes are now sitting at the 18th spot of the La Liga with 8 points, having scored 8 goals while conceding 15 in the process. However, they have been pretty solid at home so far in the season, losing just one of their five matches in all competitions (2-1-2). Only two of those matches featured Under 2.5 Goals, while all the others also had goals from both sides.
On the other hand, Atletico Madrid (5-1-4) are coming off a slim 1-0 away win against Sant Andrews in the Copa del Rey. They used their reserve squad in that match and grabbed a nice result ahead of the second leg at home. Prior to that they defeated Real Sociedad by 0-2 at home, and have been really solid so far in the season. Atletico Madrid are sitting at the 4th spot of the league table with 19 points, just as many as Sevilla. Both teams are one point behind Alaves and two points behind Barcelona. However, they have not been very good on the road so far in the league (1-1-3), socring 4 goals while conceding just as many. They have also recorded a win and a loss on the road in the Champions League, and a win in the Copa del Rey.
The two teams split the points in a goal-less draw in this venue last season, but Atletico Madrid destroyed Leganes by 0-4 at home in the second match. They have been dominant in this match-up over the years (5-1-2) and are undefeated in this venue (2-0-2).
Leganes have already caused a massive upset at home when they defeated Barcelona earlier in the season. Atletico Madrid have been rather shaky on the road and have a Champions League match coming up. They are not the defensive specialists they used to be and could be in danger here. But all their away matches in domestic competitions had two goals or less, so I will follow that trend.
La Liga Leganes vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: Under 2 Goals (-115)
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