Inter Milan recorded a great away win over Lazio last week and have been in tremendous shape lately. They will now return home after two away matches, where they will play host to Genoa on Saturday. Genoa are coming off a loss against AC Milan in their last match and are now without a win in their last four matches. But they had a tough schedule that will continue into this week.
Date/Time: 11-3-2018, 10:00 EDT
Spread: Inter Milan -1.25
Total: 2.75 Goals
Inter Milan (7-2-1) were really good in their away match against Lazio last week, where they emerged victorious with a nice 3-0. They scored twice in the first half and finished the job with another goal at the 70th minute. Prior to that they met a tough 0-2 loss on the road against Barcelona in the Champions League, but they have won eight of their last nine matches in all competitions. They are temporarily sitting at the 3rd spot of the league table with 22 points because Napoli defeated Empoli and have one more match. Inter Milan didn’t win any of their first two home matches of the season but have won each of their last four ever since and also kept clean sheets in their last two (4-1-1). They will come into this match with a single injury concern, as midfielder Nainggolan is unavailable due to an ankle injury.
On the other hand, Genoa (4-4-2) fought really hard in their last match but eventually lost to AC Milan by 1-2 on the road. Their opponents made a great start in the first half and took the lead at just the 4th minute. However, Genoa pulled even when AC Milan scored an own goal at the 56th minute, but they didn’t hold on to the result. AC Milan scored a goal at the stoppage time to force Genoa to a 1-2 loss. That means that Genoa are now win-less in their last four matches (0-2-2) but they have scored in all their matches so far and are lethal up front. They are now sitting at the 11th spot of the Serie A with 14 points, having scored 16 goals against 19 conceded. They have not been very good on the road either this season (1-3-1), but have scored 8 goals in that span.
This is a match-up that traditionally favors the host team, whoever it is. There hasn’t been an away win in this match-up since 2011, with the home team having won 12 of the 14 matches ever since. To put that into perspective, the two teams have exchanged home wins for the past five years.
Inter Milan have remained undefeated in this match-up in the past 10 years (10-0-4) and have won each of the last five keeping four clean sheets. They do have a Champions League match coming up, and Genoa know that they can capitalize here. They can score once here, and I will pick both teams to score.
Serie A Inter Milan vs Genoa Prediction: Both Teams to Score (-109)
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