Napoli have been doing a great job so far in the season, in all competitions. They will now have a pretty easy job coming their way on Saturday, when they will play host to Frosinone. Napoli have a massive match on Tuesday for the Champions League that might complicate thing though. In any case, Frosinone are one of the weakest teams in the Serie A this season, but let’s see some things about this match.
Date/Time: 12-8-2018, 09:00 EST
Spread: Frosinone +2.25
Total: 3.25 Goals
Napoli (10-2-2) are coming off a very slim 2-1 away win against a really feisty Atalanta side on Monday, where they scored a late goal in order to win. They took an early lead at the 2nd minute but their opponents pulled even at the start of the second half. It was a balanced second half until Milik scored the winning goal at the 85th minute for the final 2-1. In their previous match they blasted Red Star by 1-3 at home for the Champions League, where they still have a massive battle to give. They will be hosted by Liverpool on Tuesday and they can progress to the next round even with a loss. When it comes to the Serie A, Napoli are still sitting at the 2nd spot of the league table with 32 points, three ahead of Inter Milan but also eight behind league leaders Juventus. They have the 2nd best home record in the Serie A so far (5-0-2), where they also have two wins and a draw in the Champions League. They are currently on their second longest undefeated streak at home since 2015/16 (22 matches). However, they have kept just a single clean sheet in their last five at home.
On the other hand, Frosinone (1-8-5) have not had much luck in their return to the Serie A this season. They almost recorded their second win of the season in their previous match, but conceded a late goal at home against Cagliari for the final 1-1 draw. Prior to that they lost badly by 0-3 on the road against Inter Milan, but that was actually their only loss in their last six (1-1-4). Frosinone are now sitting at the penultimate spot of the Serie A with 8 points, five below the relegation zone. They have the worst offense with 11 goals and the 2nd worst defense with 29 conceded so far. They have not been much better on the road (1-5-1) where they have only scored in two of their matches so far. Moreover, they have conceded at least three goals in four of their six away matches so far. Frosinone have been losing at half-time in six of their eight losses regardless of venue.
The last time these two sides met was in the 2015/16 season, where Napoli totally obliterated their opponents on both matches. After a massive 5-1 on the road they went on to double their wins with a strong 0-4 in this venue. They have never lost to Frosinone over the years (5-0-2), but six of those matches had goals from both sides. Napoli have won two of their four home matches against this opponent (2-0-2).
There is a very important detail here though: Napoli will travel to Liverpool on Tuesday in order to fight for a ticket to the next round of the Champions League. Everyone’s mind will surely be in that match which is crucial. I am not suggesting that Frosinone can pull an upset here (you never know though), but they can surely hang on to the spread. Napoli should be able to win this one, but don’t expect them to win big – they will need their strengths for Tuesday.
Serie A Napoli vs Frosinone Prediction: Frosinone +2.25 (-117)
Furthermore, check out my other Free Soccer Picks here: