Super Bowl LI Vegas Recap

Caesars Palace AFC & NFC East Player Props

For Nevada’s largest sports book operator, William Hill, it was a fitting end to a terrible pro football season. The Patriots, trailing 28-9, were available at 16/1 (+1600) on the LIVE InPlay Money Line and their comeback was very profitable for the majority of bettors. The favorite covered. The total went over. All the popular props cashed.

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Super Bowl 51 Quick Hitters: Patriots holding as 3-point chalk

Super Bowl 51 Quick Hitters: Patriots holding as 3-point chalk

 

The New England Patriots aim to secure their fifth championship during head coach Bill Belichick’s time on the sidelines. Tom Brady is also afforded the opportunity to write more Super Bowl records. Super Sunday finds New England holding serve as the opening 3-point favorites with the over-under in SB51 sitting at 59, this at William Hill of the U.S.

The league is making it confusing for those of us that make mention of the biggest football game of the year. After clearly stating that the Super Sunday event would go from roman numerals for the first 49 years to last year being branded as Super Bowl 50, the affair is back to its Roman numeral roots.

For those of you who were not inebriated for the entire two week build up to the game between the Denver Broncos and the Carolina Panthers “The Company”, the NFL, were persistent about using the number “50” following Super Bowl rather than the “L,” label. The league insisted that it was Super Bowl 50 and used a golden 50 in the game title.

This year, they have reverted back to the roman numbering system so you won’t see the company have any official memorabilia or ware sporting “51” but rather “LI” making it the first Super Bowl that has the letter “L”.

According to published reports the league has stated that it will continue to use roman numerals until Super Bowl XC which is Super Bowl 90. The league doesn’t want to confuse the brand and since the letter “X” has been used multiple times in Super Bowl IX bowls they will revert back to numbers when Super Bowl XC (Super Bowl 90) arrives. ,

Below are five “Quick Hits” for Thursday, February 2, 2017.

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2017 Super Bowl Picks and Props from Johnny Detroit

Prez' Sunday Funday NFLX Free Picks: Atlanta at Pittsburgh

Right out of the gate I am not buying into the experience and been here before theory. These guys are grown men and professionals who are on TV all the time, in video games and basically have played in tons of big games during their careers. So what if New England has played in the Super Bowl numerous times? It is not like the Patriots have a track record of dominating performances in the Super Bowl. Are they going to reflect on all the close games (4 by 3 points, 2 by 4) or needing the miracle INT vs the Seahawks? I do not think the Patriots can stop the Falcons potent offense for four straight quarters. Math nerds say 4 yards is the magic number to average on 1st down to keep the drive alive and the Atlanta Falcons average 8.10, the highest in the NFL. When ranking opponents by defensive strength, Atlanta played the second toughest schedule in the NFL but still finished second in yards at 415.8 and put up 33.8 points per game and so far have averaged 40 in the playoffs.  Even if we concede and say the Patriots stop Julio Jones, the Falcons are too deep for that to effect their offense. The Denver Broncos came at Atlanta with this approach and kept Julio Jones to only 2 catches for 29 yards, but Ryan just went to Coleman who put up 132 yards and Sanu (averaged 14.3 on 3 catches). Don’t forgot Matt Ryan set an NFL record this season tossing touchdowns to 13 different players.

When looking at the Super Bowl total, I lean on the UNDER. Close to 70% of early public action is on the OVER, but Pinnacle is at 58.5 OVER +102 and UNDER -113 despite 71% of their action on the total on the OVER (click for latest Super Bowl Odds). People are not giving the Falcons defense the respect they deserve, mainly because their defensive stats are skewed because Atlanta usually leads early and going into the 4th quarter.  Atlanta gave up over 9 points in the 4th qt on average this season, while the league average is under a TD. Why the 4th quarter? Well, garbage time equals garbage stats. Atlanta was up over a TD at the half on average and scored 8.6 points in the 3rd vs 3.9 for their opponent (thus extending the lead), so 4th quarter garbage yards and points (for example they were up 42-0 on Rams going into 4th and won the game 42-14) are misleading when just looking at the box score.

Johnny Detroit’s Super Bowl Pick: Atlanta Falcons 27 and New England Patriots 24

Super Bowl LI Props, Picks and Handicapping Tips

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Vegas Super Bowl Props and Results: We go back SEVEN YEARS!

Updated Odds to Win 2017-18 AFC, NFC & Super Bowl

Direct from Las Vegas, WagerTalk.com TV host Marco D’Angelo (@MarcoInVegas) and Ralph Michaels (@CalSportsLV) look at Vegas Super Bowl props (Super Bowl LI Sunday, February 5, 6:30 PM on FOX from NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas between the New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons) from Vegas and the results over the past seven years.

Huge list of Super Bowl Props from Vegas

Read moreVegas Super Bowl Props and Results: We go back SEVEN YEARS!

Super Bowl Props Results: We go back SEVEN YEARS!

Sports Betting Report from Vegas: Who is the Money on this week? (Dec 4)

The New England Patriots will meet the Atlanta Falcons in the 2017 Super Bowl (Sunday, February 5, 6:30 PM on FOX from NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas. Super Bowl LI) and with the NFL Championship games comes thousands and thousands of the famous Super Bowl props. Ever wonder how a certain Super Bowl prop has done over the years? Well below we take some of the main props offered by the majority of bookmakers and go back the past seven years to see how these Super Bowl props ended up.

 PDF version of Super Bowl Prop Results

Here are the actual Super Bowl props sheets from four major Las Vegas sportsbooks:

Vegas Super Bowl Props from CG Technology

Super Bowl Props from South Point Sports Book in Las Vegas

Super Bowl Props from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook

Super Bowl Props from William Hill in Las Vegas

Super Bowl 51 Party Props Sheet

Make sure to check out our NFL database where you can look up historic results/stats for millions of NFL situations, and our NFL Live Odds for the latest Super Bowl spread directly from Vegas!

Read moreSuper Bowl Props Results: We go back SEVEN YEARS!