Atletico Madrid were not very good in their last match but did manage to return to winning ways. They will now have a huge task ahead of them, as they will host Juventus on Wednesday for the Champions League round of 16. Juventus have been really good this season and are coming off two very strong wins.
Date/Time: 2-20-2019, 15:00 EST
Spread: Juventus +0.0
Total: 2 Goals
Atletico Madrid are in the round of 16 of the Champions League for the fifth time in the last six season. Last season they actually failed to go through the group stage finishing third, but went on to capture the Europa League. They have won four of their five round of 16 ties over the years, losing only in their first attempt. The Spanish side have been scoring consistently lately, scoring the first goal in six of their last eight matches in all competition. They have won their last four matches for the Champions League with a two-goal margin. Atletico Madrid have a mediocre W4 L4 record in two-legged knock-out ties against Italian opposition. They are also undefeated in their last 12 home Champions League knock-out matches (7-0-5).
On the other hand, Juventus come into this round for the 10th time in their history (W6 L3). They have won each of their last two times, most recently against Tottenham last season. Juventus have fared well in two-legged knock-out ties against Spanish clubs (W9 L7). This season they won their first two away matches against Valencia (2-0) and Manchester United (1-0) but then fell by 1-2 against Young Boys. That loss put an end to Juventus’ five-match winning streak in Champions League away matches. Moreover, Juventus have now won each of their last three matches against Spanish sides. However, they have won just three of their last nine trips to Spain, with an overall record of 6-16-6.
The two teams have only met in the 2014/15 season in the group stage. Atletico Madrid won by a slim 0-1 at home and the other match in Torino was a goal-less draw. Atletico Madrid went on to top the group but it was Juventus who reached the final that season.
Both teams tend to play really carefully in all their matches and this looks like another low-scoring match. Especially given the severity of the situation, so I will take my chances with the Under 2 Goals here.
Champions League Atletico Madrid vs Juventus Prediction: Under 2 Goals (-111)