Two teams that didn’t make good starts in the Champions League will now lock horns on Tuesday, when Barcelona will host Inter Milan. Barcelona were not very good against Dortmund and should be feeling happy they didn’t lose. The same goes for Inter Milan, who could have lost against a much weaker opponent.
Date/Time: 10-2-2019, 15:00 EST
Spread: Inter Milan +1
Total: 3 Goals
Barcelona were quite bad in their away match against Dortmund in the premiere. They looked really uninspired in that match and only had a single shot on the opposing target. Dortmund even missed a penalty kick at the 57th minute, while the two teams settled for a goal-less draw. That was their second consecutive UCL match that they fail to score. But Barcelona have been excellent at home in the competition, going undefeated in their last 32 matches (29-0-3). Moreover, they have won ten of their last 11 European matches at home. Barcelona’s record as hosts against Serie A sides stands at 17-2-6. And they are undefeated in their last 13 home fixtures (11-0-2).
On the other hand, Inter Milan had a theoretically easier job in the premiere against Slavia Prague. But the truth is that they really struggled to avoid the loss. Their opponents took the lead at the 63rd minute and even had chances to double it. But Inter Milan scored a late goal to pull even for a hard-fought 1-1. They are now win-less in their last three European matches (0-1-2), scoring just once in the process. Inter Milan have won just two of their last 12 European away fixtures, and lose six of their last nine. Moreover, they have lost four of their last five matches against Spanish opposition. Their overall record is a terrible 3-14-2.
The two teams have met on eight occasions in the past, with Barcelona having the upper hand here (4-1-3). In addition, Barcelona have won all four previous matches as hosts against Inter Milan, while keeping clean sheets in all matches. This season they have not been very good defensively, and Inter Milan could easily hurt them here. Going with the Over 3 Goals on this one.
Champions League Barcelona vs Inter Milan Prediction: Over 3 Goals (+104)
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