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Ralph Michaels
NBA Basketball
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(529) Denver Nuggets at (530) Los Angeles Lakers
1H Total Over 111.0 (-110)
Check out today's WagerTalk Today as I broke this down.
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THE 2024 WAGERTALK NBA PLAYOFF T-N-A GUIDE
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THE 2024 WAGERTALK NBA PLAYOFF T-N-A GUIDE•• Regular season Home/Away records versus winning teams and teams with a win% of 60% & higher in three categories. As a favorite of -3.5+. between the 3’s and as a dog of +3.5 and higher.•• SU, ATS and OU records as a HF and HD by each round.•• Home/Away records by Round and Seed.• ...
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Teddy Covers
NBA Basketball
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Take LA – Denver OVER (#529-530)
All three regular season meetings between these two teams were totaled at 230 or higher. All four playoff games last year were totaled between 222.5 and 225.5. The first two games of this series were totaled at 226.5 and 223. For Game 3 we’ve seen a SIGNIFICANT market adjustment downwards. LeBron James expects a much better offensive game from LA tonight than what we saw in Denver: “We generated some great shots. We missed a lot of shots at the rim that we’ve been making throughout the course of this season.” Head coach Darvin Ham: “The film session was very revealing……We were great defensively. Offensively, there was a lot of shots we wish we could have back.” No surprise here if we see improved offensive efficiency for BOTH teams tonight; setting the stage for an Over cash despite a relatively slow tempo expected. Take the Lakers – Nuggets OVER.
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BUY MLB THRU ALL STAR, GET HIS NBA PLAYOFFS FOR FREE!!
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The Gold Sheet
NBA Basketball
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It wouldn’t be a Lakers playoff series without drama, which is exactly what we got in Game 2 vs the Nuggets. Denver's Jamal Murray was able to hit a game-winning shot as time expired, securing a 101-99 win before the series shifts to Los Angeles. This was a crushing blow for the Lakers, who were up by 20 points in the third quarter. Los Angeles scored just 40 points in the second half as Denver showed what it is capable of doing on defense. LeBron James, Anthony Davis and D’Angelo Russell combined to score 81 of the team’s 99 total points. That was Denver's tenth-straight win over the Lakers as the defending champs have set their sights on another postseason sweep of the purple-and-gold. Where is the Lakers' offensive support going to come from outside of James, Davis and Russell? When Denver played on the road in the regular season, the under was 25-16. After opening at 226.5 in Game 1 and 223 in Game 2, the total for Game 3 has dropped to 217 on Thursday morning for Game 3. Frankly, we're not sure it's dropped far enough. Dating back to the beginning of last year's postseason, the Nuggets have played 22 playoff games and have allowed an average of 104.7 points per game. Denver has held eight of those 22 opponents below 100 points in regulation.
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2024 Football GoldSheet Newsletter Pre-Sale!
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Early-bird pricing is now available for the 2024 Football GoldSheet newsletter. Take advantage of our best offer and lock in the 2024-25 Football GoldSheet newsletter at the lowest-available price, which will increase on the first of each month until the college football season kicks off in late-August
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Bryan Power
NBA Basketball
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Yes, Games 1 and 2 both stayed Under. And Game 2 saw just 200 total points scored. But the O/U lines for those games were 227 and 224. Now we’re looking at 216. That’s a big shift. There were 217 points scored in Game 1, oh by the way.
We know the Lakers have lost to the Nuggets 10 straight times. But what’s really troubling for them right now is Denver didn’t even shoot well in the first two games. You’ve got to think Jokic and company have a big offensive night in them, coming up soon.
And the Lakers have gotten off to good starts in these two games, averaging 59.5 points in the 1H. Back home, there’s no altitude issue, so you would like to think we don’t see their second half shooting wilt yet again.
Game 1 of the Pelicans-Thunder series stayed well Under the total (by almost 30 points). So for Game 2, oddsmakers dropped the number several points and what happened? Flew Over. The drop in the total here has been WAY more severe and thus Over is the way I’d play in Game 3. I just expect better shooting from the Nuggets and a better second half, offensively, from the Lakers.
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Nick Borrman
Major League Soccer
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MLS
(209933) Colorado Rapids at (209934) FC Cincinnati
One of my favorite things to do early in the season is to find the anomalies and bet against them. In this match, that’s fading Colorado and it’s not because I think they are a poor team by any means as they look much improved from last season. However, they have been fortunate in terms of where their goals have come from, and you can easily argue three or four of their results could be different.
Colorado has been handed four PKs already this season, scoring three of them, plus they have forced two additional own goals. Compare that to Cincinnati who has been awarded only one PK this season, they didn’t score it, and no own goals. Take away those fortunate goals and it becomes easy to question where will the Rapids goals come from?
Remember, Cincinnati is one of the best defensive teams in the league allowing only 0.89 xGA per 90 minutes which drops to a paltry 0.50 at home.
After losing back-to-back matches vs NYRB and at Montreal, Cincinnati rebounded with a win beating a very good Atlanta squad 2-1 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium which is a very difficult thing to do.
After a slow start to the season for reigning MVP, Luciano Acosta, in which he had no goals and two assists in his first six matches including Champions Cup, Lucho has since added four goals and four assists over his last seven matches including contributing on both goals in their 2-1 win over Atlanta last weekend.
With a question mark of where Colorado’s goals come from along with Acosta surging into form, this looks like a straightforward home win for Cincinnati, the same team who hauled the most points at home last season.
TAKE CINCINNATI -0.75
Line Parameter: Play good to -125, reduce risk to -140
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Playoffs to Preseason for UNDER $5.05 Per Day!
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Kyle Anthony
Mixed Martial Arts
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Released/revised 2 day(s) ago
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Kevin Dolan
UEFA
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NBA PLAYOFFS GM3 BEST BET [#2!]: $25.00
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