Off to Charlotte for the Wells Fargo Championship played at Quail Hollow. Quail Hollow is a Par 72, 7,562 yards that favors bombers off the tee a lot. I am looking to fade short hitters unless they have good history on this course. There are a lot of golfers in the field that simply play this course well, so pay attention to past performances as we make some more selections.

Wells Fargo Championship Expert Picks:

Jason Kokrak -105 vs. Luke Donald

Kokrak is a bomber who has been in good form. His course history here usually has to do with how he is playing at the time, and he is playing very well. Donald does not have much history at this course and the history he does have is 2 missed cuts and a withdrawal. Although he is playing very well right now, he is not a long hitter so that makes him a fade this week.

Justin Thomas +100 vs. Luke Donald

Justin Thomas has the game that really fits this course. He is very long off the tee with a high ball flight. He also plays par 5’s very well. His course history consists of a 7th place finish last year and that is his only time playing the event. This is also a fade of Luke Donald for the same reasons mentioned earlier.

Harold Varner III +100 vs. Jason Bohn

Harold Varner III is also a bomber who is coming into this event playing very well. His last 2 events he has top 10’s in both. He missed the cut at this event back in 2014, but this course sets up well for his game, so I am looking for a bounce back from that. Jason Bohn is not a long hitter, but he is a great long iron player. He has very good course history at this event although the course does not set up well for him. Since coming back from his heart attack he has not been playing his best, so he is a fade for me until he starts playing well again.

Scott Brown -125 vs. Ian Poulter

Scott Brown has played well this year and has very good course history at this event. Brown is not a bomber by any stretch, but he is playing solid golf all around. I am willing to take him here. Poulter has not played this course since 2009, but when he did he had 2 good finishes and 2 missed cuts. Poulter is a fade due to how he is playing right now. He has been making cuts, but not finishing well off of them. I wouldn’t play this much higher than -125 however.


JB Holmes +120 vs. Justin Rose

Will Wilcox -130 vs. Robert Streb

Futures with good value: (Be cautious. Rory is really good and sets up perfectly for this course.)

Tony Finau 66-1

Jason Kokrak 66-1

Ryan Moore 66-1

Justin Thomas 50-1

JB Holmes 25-1

Hideki Matsuyama 25-1

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Brock Downs

Brock has been betting golf successfully for the past 3 seasons. Through advanced statistics and metrics he has been finding matchups to take advantage of. Under the handle Doubledown23 has recently been posting plays and leans that are hitting at a crazy rate. Check out the results for yourself on the forums. You won’t be disappointed!

Brock Downs has 11 posts and counting. See all posts by Brock Downs

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