Sun vs Sparks Picks, Spread and Prediction (09-17-20)

In this second round single elimination game of the 2020 WNBA playoffs, the 3rd Connecticut Sun will be facing the 7th Los Angeles Sparks. This will be a rematch of last year’s semifinal, where the Sun swept the Sparks 3-0 wins. They failed to be crowned champions as they lost to the Washington Mystics 3-2 wins in a thrilling Finals series.

Date/Time: 09-17-2020, 21:00 EDT

Spread: Los Angeles Sparks -4.5 Total: +160.5

Sparks finished the regular season with a 15-7 record (12-10 ATS) and were third in the league. They have back-to-back losses. In their last game they lost by the Aces, 70-84. They were a +4 underdog and failed to beat the odds.

Candace Parker leads the team both in scoring with 14.7 ppg and in rebounding with 9.7 per game. She also adds 4.6 assists per game, while Chelsea Gray adds 14 ppg and a team-high 5.3 assists per game.

Sun finished the regular season with a 10-12 record (10-12 ATS) and were 7th in the WNBA. In their last game they snapped a two-game losing streak. They won the Sky 94-81, eliminating them. They were a 1.5-point underdog and managed to cover the spread.

DeWanna Bonner leads the team in scoring with 19.7 ppg, adding 7.8 rebounds per game. Alyssa Thomas adds 15.5 ppg and team-highs both in rebounding with 9 and in assists made with 4.8 per game.

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LA won both meetings against Connecticut this season.

They won by an average of 4.5 points.

Sparks are better offensively (84.9 to 80.4 pp), while Sun have the second-best defense in the league (79.9 to 80l.3 ppg).

They also dish more assists (20 to 18.3).

LA has better percentages both in field goals (48.1% to 42.7%) and in 3-pointers (39.8% to 31.2%).

Connecticut is third-worse in FG% and second-worse in 3-pt% in the league and they are only better in rebounding (35.5 to 31.4)

Both teams are very close in turnovers committed (14.1 to 14.4).

Bookmakers give the Sparks a -4.5 spread and expect them to beat the odds. They have won twice this year and are superior statistically as well, so they will get away with the win tonight.

Sun vs Sparks Prediction: Los Angeles Sparks -4.5 (-120)

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