WNBA Finals Sun vs Mystics Game 1 Spread and Prediction

In Game 1 of the 2019 WNBA Finals, the teams that held the two best record during the regular season are clashing, when the top-seeded Washington Mystics (26-8), after eliminating the Las Vegas Aces in the semifinals with 3-1 wins, are hosting the second-seeded Connecticut Sun (23-11), who swept the Los Angeles Sparks in the previous round.

Date/Time: 09-29-2019 15:00 EDT

Spread: Washington Mystics -7.5

Total: +166

Washington Mystics finished the regular season with a 26-8 record (20-13 ATS) were placed on top of the whole league. They have won nine of their last ten matches and in their last game they won on the road against Las Vegas in Game 4 of the semifinals with a 94-90 score, not beating the odds. They are led in scoring by Emma Meesseman with 21 ppg, 3.3 dimes and a team high 8 boards per game. She is followed by Elena Delle Donne with 20 ppg, adding 7.3 boards and 3 dimes per game.

Connecticut Sun finished the regular season with a 23-11 record (14-19-1 ATS) and were placed 2nd in the league. They have won four of their last five matches and in their last game they won on the road against the Sparks in Game 3 of the semifinals with a 78-56 score, beating the odds. They are led in scoring by Jonquel Jones with 21.5 ppg, adding 10 boards per game. She is followed by Courtney Williams with 20 ppg, 6.5 boards and 5.5 dimes per game.

In their three previous meetings in the regular season the Sun lead the Mystics 2-1 wins with each team winning at home (Mystics won by 43 points). Mystics are 16-3 at home so far season, while the Sun are 9-9 on the road. Mystics have the best offense in the league with 89.6 ppg to Sun’s 81.2, while Sun are better defensively, allowing 77 ppg to Mystics’ 78.8. Mystics have better percentages both in field goals (46.8% to 42.5%) and in 3-pointers (36.8% to 35.4%). Mystics are better both in dimes made (21.9 to 19.3) and in turnovers committed (11.8 to 14.2), while Sun are better in boards grabbed (36.8 to 33.3). Bookmakers give the Mystics a -7.5 spread and expect them to beat the odds for the home win tonight.

Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics Game 1 Prediction: Washington Mystics -7.5 (-111)

 

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