WNBA Finals Sun vs Mystics Game 5 Spread and Prediction

With both teams being tied 2-2 wins after the first four games of the 2019 WNBA Finals, the series moves back to the capital, where the first-seeded Washington Mystics (26-8), are hosting once again the second-seeded Connecticut Sun (23-11), who tied the series with a game 4 home win and now both teams are looking for a commanding third win in the Finals.

Date/Time: 10-10-2019 20:00 EDT

Spread: Washington Mystics -6.5

Total: +175.5

Washington Mystics finished the regular season with a 26-8 record (20-13 ATS) and were placed on top of the whole WNBA. They have lost two of their last three matches and in their last game they lost on the road against the Sun in game four of the finals with an 86-90 score, not beating the odds. They are led in scoring by Emma Meesseman with 19 ppg, adding 5.9 boards per game. She is followed by Elena Delle Donne with 16.4 ppg, adding a team high 6.3 boards per game.

Connecticut Sun finished the regular season with a 23-11 record (14-19-1 ATS) and were placed second in the league. They have won two of their last three matches and in their last game they won at home against the Mystics in game four of the finals with a 90-86 score, beating the odds. They are led in scoring by Courtney Williams with 18.1 ppg, adding 6.4 boards and 4.9 dimes per game. She is followed by Jonquel Jones with 16.9 ppg and a team high 10.2 boards per game.

In their seven previous meetings so far this season the Sun lead the Mystics 4-3 wins, with the Mystics being 2-1 at home. Mystics have a 17-4 home record season, while the Sun are 10-10 on the road. Mystics have the best offense in the league with 89.7 ppg to Sun’s 82, while Sun have a better defense, allowing 78.3 ppg to Mystics’ 79.8. Mystics have a better accuracy both from the field (47.1% to 43%) and from behind the arc (37.7% to 35.6%). Sun on the other hand are better in rebounding (36.9 to 29.1), while Mystics commit fewer turnovers (9.8 to 11.4) and squads dish almost the same number of assists per game (22.3 to 22.1). Bookmakers give the Mystics a -6.5 spread and expect them to beat the odds for the home victory.

Connecticut Sun vs Washington Mystics Game 5 Prediction: Washington Mystics -6.5 (-112)

 

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